Pat McAfee makes his Super Bowl pick—and the numbers back him up

Pat McAfee doesn’t need December to start making calls. The former Colts punter and current media personality jumped on the hype train after Indianapolis crushed the Raiders 40-6. Then he dropped his verdict without hesitation: “The Colts are going to win the Super Bowl.” He said it online, with his usual high-energy delivery—but this time, his excitement seems grounded in what’s happening on the field.

According to Marca, Pat McAfee isn’t the only one buying in. The Colts opened the season 4-1, with three wins by more than 20 points. Under head coach Shane Steichen, the team has carved out a clear identity: sharp offense, disciplined defense, and tactical preparation that shows in every snap. Even their lone loss to the Rams (27-20) came down to a few key mistakes that could’ve flipped the outcome.

A team with leadership

Daniel Jones, cast off by the Giants, has found stability in Indianapolis. Against the Raiders, he completed passes to seven different receivers and led six straight touchdown drives. His quiet leadership and mistake-free execution are rewriting the narrative around him. “We’re focused on the process, not just the result,” Jones said after the game—a sign of competitive maturity. All of this gives Pat McAfee’s Super Bowl prediction even more weight.

 

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Jonathan Taylor, meanwhile, remains a serious threat on the ground. Steichen knows how to blend his power with creative offensive schemes that throw defenses off balance. The offensive line, once a weak spot, now looks solid and in sync. Again, Pat McAfee has plenty of evidence to support his claim about the Colts.

Colts to the Super Bowl?

Defensively, the Colts are just as sharp. Led by Lou Anarumo, the former Bengals coordinator, the unit has held opponents under 10 points in three of five games. They’ve shown an ability to adjust in real time, placing them among the most complete defenses in the AFC.

Pat McAfee, who knows the team’s culture from the inside, isn’t making his Super Bowl pick out of nostalgia. The Colts are executing with precision, showing chemistry, and winning with authority. And while February is still a long way off, his bet on the Super Bowl doesn’t sound so wild. If Indianapolis keeps this pace, what feels like a bold prediction today might become an inevitable reality.